
Edge Alerts
2 liveWin chance
Live · 30sAdvancement probability lights up here once high-volume data is available for this match.
Market consensus = the blended head-to-head price across every tracked book and exchange. Higher is shown in green. Sharp Money shows advancement probability from the highest-volume prediction market — the crowd's best guess on which team reaches the knockout stage.
Current Betting Lines
Median across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, CaesarsWin chance — last 24 hours
Why this pick
Chicago is in much better form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a strong overall record in their last ten matches, scoring more goals and conceding fewer than RBNY.
Chicago is in much better form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a strong overall record in their last ten matches, scoring more goals and conceding fewer than RBNY. Our internal model also strongly favors Chicago, indicating a significant edge over the home team. While Chicago has a slight rest disadvantage, their superior recent performance and goal-scoring ability should allow them to secure an away victory. Chicago is in strong form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a much better goal differential trend compared to New York Red Bulls. Our independent model also heavily favors Chicago with a 54% win probability. The head-to-head history from earlier this season also shows Chicago securing a decisive away win, suggesting a favorable matchup for them.
- CHI's strong recent form (7 wins in last 10, 3-game winning streak)
- RBNY's falling form (2-game losing streak, 40% win rate last 5)
- CHI's superior goal differential trend (+0.31 vs -0.49 for RBNY)
- LINEHAWK model favoring CHI significantly (54% win probability)
- CHI's strong recent form (7 wins in last 10 games, 3-game winning streak)
- CHI's higher goal differential trend (+0.31 vs RBNY's -0.49)
Metrics & conditions
Injury watch
Edge metrics
The linemaker's brainRecent form — last 5 matches
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LINEHAWK is analysis only. Not betting advice.