All matchessoccer_usa_mls
RBNY
RBNY
46.2%
vs
CHI
CHI
CHI
53.8%
Tomorrow · 4:30 PM PT · in 1d 6h

Edge Alerts

2 live

Win chance

Live · 30s
LINEHAWK pick
CHI to win58%
Market consensus
RBNY46%
CHI54%
Sharp Money
Wiring up

Advancement probability lights up here once high-volume data is available for this match.

Market consensus = the blended head-to-head price across every tracked book and exchange. Higher is shown in green. Sharp Money shows advancement probability from the highest-volume prediction market — the crowd's best guess on which team reaches the knockout stage.

Current Betting Lines

Median across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars
Moneyline (3-way)
RBNY
+167
CHI
+130
Draw
+290
Total Goals · line 3.5 goals
Over 3.5
-110
Under 3.5
-130

Win chance — last 24 hours

Why this pick

The pick
CHI to win
LINEHAWK confidence: 58% — how likely the multi-brain engine thinks this outcome is.
BRAIN-A · pattern engineNo read
BRAIN-B · signal engine58%
BRAIN-C · context engine58%

Chicago is in much better form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a strong overall record in their last ten matches, scoring more goals and conceding fewer than RBNY.

Chicago is in much better form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a strong overall record in their last ten matches, scoring more goals and conceding fewer than RBNY. Our internal model also strongly favors Chicago, indicating a significant edge over the home team. While Chicago has a slight rest disadvantage, their superior recent performance and goal-scoring ability should allow them to secure an away victory. Chicago is in strong form, coming off a three-game winning streak and a much better goal differential trend compared to New York Red Bulls. Our independent model also heavily favors Chicago with a 54% win probability. The head-to-head history from earlier this season also shows Chicago securing a decisive away win, suggesting a favorable matchup for them.

Key factors
  • CHI's strong recent form (7 wins in last 10, 3-game winning streak)
  • RBNY's falling form (2-game losing streak, 40% win rate last 5)
  • CHI's superior goal differential trend (+0.31 vs -0.49 for RBNY)
  • LINEHAWK model favoring CHI significantly (54% win probability)
  • CHI's strong recent form (7 wins in last 10 games, 3-game winning streak)
  • CHI's higher goal differential trend (+0.31 vs RBNY's -0.49)

Metrics & conditions

Line move (24h)
How the favorite's price has shifted today.
Social buzz
Quiet
Recent posts about these teams (last 24h).
Draw chance
Market's estimate the match ends level.
Kickoff
In 1d 6h
Kickoff: Tomorrow · 4:30 PM PT.

Injury watch

No injuries reported. Watching live news feeds.

Edge metrics

The linemaker's brain

Recent form — last 5 matches

RBNY — Last 5
  • L
    0-1 vs NSHPick W
    2026-08-19
  • L
    1-2 vs ATLPick W
    2026-08-15
  • W
    3-2 vs ORL
    2026-08-01
  • L
    0-2 vs CLT
    2026-07-25
  • L
    1-3 vs PHI
    2026-07-22
CHI — Last 5
  • W
    2-1 vs ORLPick W
    2026-08-19
  • W
    2-1 vs POR
    2026-08-16
  • W
    2-1 vs CLT
    2026-08-02
  • L
    1-3 vs NYC
    2026-07-25
  • L
    2-3 vs MIA
    2026-07-22

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LINEHAWK is analysis only. Not betting advice.